The fateful dilemma of Iran’s economy
TEHRAN- Etemad addressed the tense conditions of Iran’s economy in an article in the current context. According to the newspaper, we are welcoming a new round of negotiations between Tehran and Washington while Iranian markets are at the peak of their historic fervor.
The scenarios ahead for the economy are completely tied to the outcome of these negotiations: A limited agreement could raise hope and, by reducing geopolitical risks, provide breathing space for economic policymakers to address domestic reforms. On the other hand, the failure of diplomacy means the continuation and intensification of pressures. In the event of a failure of negotiations, there is still the possibility of managing the situation by making the right decisions to avoid the worst-case scenario. In both cases, realism and foresight are necessary conditions for policymakers. At this historical juncture, Iran’s economy needs stabilization and trust-building more than ever. Today's decisions could either lead to gradual opening and internal reform or to a storm of economic crises that will further threaten people's livelihoods.
Javan: Larijani's diplomatic efforts in Oman and Qatar
Javan analyzed the trips by Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), to Oman and Qatar. According to the newspaper, Netanyahu traveled to Washington to perhaps dissuade Donald Trump from any possible agreement with Iran and pave the way for another attack on Iran. But Tehran also intensified its regional diplomatic moves to thwart Israel's plan. Larijani discussed regional developments with senior officials during his trip to Oman and Qatar. His visit led to positive developments ahead of the second round of nuclear negotiations. It also showed that Tehran is seeking active diplomacy. Iran’s diplomatic efforts ahead of the second round of nuclear talks send a clear message to Washington and Israel that Tehran is simultaneously emphasizing active diplomacy and regional engagement and is ready for dialogue, while maintaining its defensive power. Iran’s message is clear that threats and pressure cannot replace negotiations, and any attempt to impose demands will be met with a strategic response.
Hamshahri: Extensive efforts to find a framework for dialogue
In a commentary on security chief Ali Larijani's letter to Omani Foreign Minister Badr Busaidi, Hamshahri said: The diplomatic process is concurrent with Israeli pressure on Washington. Tel Aviv's pressures have been mainly centered on the fact that any agreement with Iran must also include the missile issue and support for resistance groups, not just the nuclear program. However, the content of the letter between Larijani and Busaidi is still unclear. It is not clear whether the letter revolved around U.S. demands or Tehran's response. Of course, this type of written message has a history in Iranian negotiations. As in previous years, foreign leaders have tried to send written messages to Tehran, an example of which goes back to the attempt of the late Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to deliver Trump's letter to the Leader in 2019. Overall, these developments show that the negotiation process between Iran and the United States, despite its complexities, has entered a phase of indirect messaging and regional coordination. The role played by Oman and Qatar, along with diplomatic visits and written messages, indicates extensive efforts to find a framework for dialogue.
Arman-e-Melli: Possibility of agreement
Nearly eight months after the escalation of tension and confrontation in the 12-day war, Iran and the United States have begun their first round of talks in Oman. Although both sides have expressed satisfaction with the overall nature of the talks, the main focus of the negotiations remains the issue of nuclear enrichment. The U.S. insistence on zero enrichment will block any agreement. However, the key issue is determining the fate of the nuclear fuel enriched to 60 percent. Some experts believe that one of the options on the table is to transfer the uranium from Iran. A scenario that the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran had previously expressed his clear opposition to. The issue of uranium enrichment in Iran has reached a critical point. On the one hand, some nuclear sites have been bombarded, and Tehran insists on its legal right to resume enrichment. On the other hand, the United States wants serious guarantees that Iran will not produce nuclear weapons. If the two sides can reach a common understanding on the level of enrichment, the fate of 60 percent uranium and an effective lifting of sanctions, reaching a new agreement, although difficult, will not be far from the horizon.
