German Jobless Loom Over Schroeder's Election Tour
Schroeder's Social Democrats officially launch their summer campaign tour and unveil their battle bus in Schroeder's home town Hanover on Monday, seven weeks before the September 22 general election, Reuters reported.
The SPD ramp up their campaign 18 days earlier than planned after failing to make inroads into the five to seven point lead of the opposition conservatives in opinion polls.
Yet they have little time to set the agenda before the release of the latest data on German unemployment and the July numbers are unlikely to do the incumbent any favors.
The head of Germany's Federal Labor Office, Florian Gerster, said last week there were no grounds to be optimistic about the July figures, although he hinted that reports of a sharp rise may be exaggerated.
The mass-circulation bild newspaper has reported that headline unemployment in Europe's largest economy would rise to 4.1 million in July from 3.954 million in June.
Other important numbers, the opinion polls figures, gave Schroeder little joy this weekend.
One opinion poll showed the lead of the Conservative CDU/CSU increasing by one percentage point, while two others showed the gap unchanged. The SPD were making inroads into the lead until a triple whammy of jobless data, the sacking of defense minister Rudolf Scharping and allegations of meddling in the affairs of Deutsche Telekom struck early last month.
--- Fighting for Floaters --- Schroeder must hope his campaign, which will take him to 47 towns and cities across the country will draw out those that backed for him in 1998 and win over floating voters.
Manfred Guellner, director of the Forsa Polling Institute, said about 30 percent of voters remained undecided and it was too early to dismiss the election as a lost cause.
Richard Hilmer, head of the Infratest Institute, likewise believed the 2002 race was still open.
"There's certainly a lot of dissatisfaction about the Social Democrat-Green government, but also skepticism that the conservatives can do things better ... there's still at least a quarter of the electorate unsure," Hilmer said.
Hilmer said the SPD was wise to take to the road early and to play their trump card, Schroeder, who continues to lead Conservative challenger Edmund Stoiber in popularity polls.
"A lot of people will be making up their minds in the final weeks .... then personalities will come to the fore," he said.
The SPD are also hoping to boost support by stressing opposition to a possible U.S. attack on Iraq. At the weekend, Schroeder cautioned against a U.S. strike during a party rally.