By Martin Love

Those who temporarily are losing badly often do win

October 7, 2018 - 10:24

By the time this column is printed it’s more than likely Brett Kavanaugh will have won a seat on the U.S. Supreme Court, voted in by the slight majority of GOP senators in the U.S Congress… to the dismay and consternation of most all thoughtful Americans, including (notably) many hundreds of professors at law schools across the country.

Kavanaugh will have won despite the fact that he is a proven liar, that he treated at least a few young women badly as a young man, and in interrogation before Congress he did not display the kind of temperament that one ought to expect from a future Supreme Court justice. Moreover, as a judge and government advisor in years past, his record is shabby if one considers civil rights important, if one considers checks and balances against overweening power by the President and the executive as well as business interests important.

Kavanaugh appears to be anathema to the concerns of the common man, the least powerful among the citizenry. His appointment has been so divisive that it’s hard to imagine the split in the U.S. between the haves and the have nots has ever been so caustic and disappointing, suggesting that “democracy” is nearly a thing of the past.

Kavanaugh is part and parcel of Trump’s “maximalist” strategy not only to enhance his own power and that of Republicans in government, but also his foreign policy strategy aimed at crushing any country, including Iran, by sanctions or war, whose policies don’t cater to every imperial and fascist whim of the U.S. oligarchy. And according to Tehran-born Vali Nasr, dean of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Baltimore, Trump’s maximalist pressure strategies are destined to failure. Consider:

According to Dr.Nasr, the Trump administration, advised by John Bolton, appears to be pursuing a 2003 deal wherein Muammar Qaddafi gave up Libya’s nuclear program entirely. We saw what happened to Libya a few years later, thanks to Obama and Clinton. Perhaps both N. Korea and Iran will consider the costs of not talking to Trump too high, but both countries will resist surrender, perhaps attempting to outlast Trump.

In the case of Iran, and this is Nasr’s critical point, talking to Trump would kill the JCPOA, an agreement fully in force, faithfully adhered to by Iran and so far faithfully underscored by the other signatories to it. The only serious question is whether the other signatories can effectively devise countermeasures against U.S. economic sanctions, such as the so-called “Special Purposes Vehicle” that would permit Iran to continue to do business and reap at least enough of the benefits inherent in the JCPOA as originally conceived. In other words, more or less defanging U.S. sanctions.

Iran is not currently benefitting, except morally in the world’s estimation, by staying in the JCPOA, but if the deal should be obviated entirely, it is most definitely not going to benefit Iran outside the deal and Iran would give up, or be forced to give up, its rights to any nuclear program (for peaceful purposes) which is a part of the deal. It is correct that Iran’s leaders have called on the U.S. to re-join the JCPOA as a baseline before any further negotiations occur to try to modify it.

But will Trump and minions re-join the JCPOA? That’s about as likely as Iran becoming the first country to colonize Mars. So, stuck as it is between a rock and the proverbial hard place for the moment, what’s Iran to do?

I say nothing, or not much.

Because I believe the Trump Administration and the U.S. government, in something akin to a drug induced high on hubris and bullying almost everywhere, is losing ground (allies and respect) at exactly the same time it seems to be at the apex of its power.

It is extremely ironic, too. But this is the way the world often works, with Karma, with vengeance and with retribution against not merely individuals who far overstep the boundaries of fairness and good sense, but entire countries, too. Look at what has happened in Syria, to cite just one example. The Zionists’ aircraft hid behind an unarmed Russian surveillance plane to bomb northwestern Syria last month and the Russian aircraft went down with 15 Russian lives.

And as a result, the Russians finally delivered what may be an effective defense against Zionist and even U.S. aggression on Syria – the S300 missile defense array. So far, there has been no further bombing of Syria by the Zionists, and the U.S. has been squealing and screaming about the Russian reaction ever since, to no avail. Putin has played his cards well, it seems.

He was long patient, some said too patient, with the attacks on Syria. Putin looks like a good model for Iran: be patient, build out alliances and good will, keep up pressure on the other signatories to the JCPOA to come up with effective countermeasures to U.S. sanctions. And meanwhile, watch the U.S. lose eventually. It will.

The GOP, in the likelihood of winning its bid to install unsuitable Brett Kavanaugh in the U.S. Supreme Court, ramming this character with no character in to the court, I predict, is going to lose bigtime, too. It may be just a matter of time, because GOP candidates up for reelection on November 6th and beyond could very well lose and hand over Congress to a Democratic Party majority. Decent Americans can deal with nearly as corrupt Democrats later, but first priority is to stuff the GOP. One step at a time, I say, to real change and reform.

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