Hybrid defeat: The failed U.S.–Israel strategy of airstrikes and unrest against Iran

March 17, 2026 - 22:11

TEHRAN - More than two weeks after the United States and Israel launched their war against Iran, the failure of their strategic plans is coming into sharp focus day by day. The offensive that began on February 28 was primarily aimed at crippling Iran’s military capabilities and dismantling the nation’s leadership structure.

On the first day of the aggression, senior Iranian military commanders and the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei, were martyred. Airstrikes have also targeted Iranian military installations along with residential areas, hospitals, and schools. So far, 1,500 people—including more than 200 students—have lost their lives.

Yet despite the severity of these attacks, neither Washington nor Tel Aviv has succeeded in breaking Iran’s defensive resolve or undermining its leadership. Iran’s response has been swift and highly organized. Since the first hours of the assault, the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) has launched a series of retaliatory strikes against Israeli and American assets. The third week of the war has seen the IRGC carry out the 57th wave of Operation “True Promise 4”, striking U.S. military forces stationed in the Persian Gulf region and Israeli command-and-control centers with precision-guided missiles. Iranian officials have confirmed that each wave of operations has improved in accuracy and effectiveness, signaling the country’s technological advancement and tactical adaptability under wartime pressure.

Beyond direct clashes, Iran has asserted control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most strategic waterways in global trade. By barring American and Israeli-linked vessels from passing through, Iran has effectively reshaped the geopolitical equation of energy transit. Analysts note that this move has sent ripples through global oil markets and undermined Washington’s traditional leverage in the region. Observers say President Donald Trump’s administration failed to anticipate Iran’s ability to combine military deterrence with geoeconomic strategy—an underestimation that is now viewed as a major strategic blunder.

In contrast to official Western narratives, independent analysts argue that Iran’s armed forces have dealt serious blows to both Israel and the United States. Reports of losses—ranging from damaged aircraft to disabled radar and communication systems—have surfaced despite tight censorship in Western media. American defense circles acknowledge that Iranian missile technology and asymmetric warfare tactics have challenged longstanding U.S. presumptions of military superiority in the Middle East.

Unable to force a military breakthrough, the U.S. and Israel have shifted focus toward internal destabilization. Their current objective, according to experts, is to foment unrest, trigger public discontent, and ultimately pave the way for regime change by inciting protests and economic panic. This, however, has proven futile. Across Iran’s cities—from Tehran and Mashhad to Shiraz and Tabriz—millions have taken to the streets to condemn the aggression and express support for national sovereignty. Significantly, even critics of the government have joined the rallies, declaring unity in defense of territorial integrity. This convergence of political factions reveals a profound transformation: when faced with external aggression, internal divisions dissolve, and Iran’s national identity becomes its strongest shield.

Despite relentless bombardments, the Iranian government has continued to operate effectively. Essential commodities remain available, and there are no signs of panic buying or shortages. The state’s emergency management and distribution infrastructure have proven highly efficient. Representatives from foreign media have acknowledged that public order and confidence remain strikingly intact. Even transportation systems—including Tehran’s metro—continue operations with minimal disruption, symbolizing institutional resilience amid wartime adversity.

Iran’s ability to sustain both military and civil stability illustrates its preparedness for hybrid warfare. Decades of sanctions and external pressure have nurtured self-reliance across key sectors such as defense, agriculture, industry, and technology. This long-term endurance strategy—often termed Iran’s “resistance economy”—is now bearing fruit. Within days of the first strikes, domestic factories increased production of essential goods, and energy networks were rerouted to ensure continuity of public supply. The result has been a rare case in modern warfare: a nation under assault that continues to function with discipline, coherence, and confidence.

From a broader perspective, Iran’s steadfastness is reshaping regional geopolitics. The war has revealed that the balance of power in the Middle East can no longer be defined solely by Western military dominance. Iran’s defense doctrine—anchored on deterrence, strategic depth, and indigenous innovation—has proven capable of countering technologically superior adversaries. The effectiveness of precision-guided missile attacks and electronic warfare methods illustrates years of strategic investment in knowledge-based defense industries. More importantly, Iran’s ability to integrate military operations with diplomatic messaging has elevated its moral position internationally. Many nations, particularly in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, view the U.S.-Israel campaign as unjustified aggression and are expressing sympathy toward Iran’s right of self-defense under international law.

Furthermore, Tehran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz gives it unprecedented influence over global energy flows. This geographic advantage, coupled with its growing network of regional alliances, has positioned Iran as a pivotal actor capable of challenging existing power hierarchies. Economically, Iran’s stability under duress has surprised observers. By avoiding currency collapse and maintaining supply-chain continuity, it projects an image of endurance that undermines Western attempts to portray the country as vulnerable.

In summary, what was meant to be a war to weaken Iran has paradoxically strengthened it. The aggression has revealed Western strategic misjudgment, Iran’s formidable national resilience, and the deep solidarity of its people. As international analysts reassess the conflict’s consequences, one conclusion becomes increasingly clear: Iran has not only survived the combined assault of the United States and Israel—it has turned adversity into renewed unity and strategic leverage.

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